If China's wind power grid connection rate stays at a 70% level for a long time, the goal of the annual wind power generation capacity of 200 billion KW proposed in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†will become invisible today, regardless of whether it will be officially implemented in June this year. The Technical Regulations on the Integration of Wind Farms into Power Systems, or the “Guidelines for the Development and Construction of Decentralized Access Wind Power Projects†issued by the National Energy Administration, it is not difficult for people to see that the management has made great efforts to eradicate the “grid-connected difficulties†of wind power in China. The attitude has become more and more determined.
However, unexpectedly, it seems that the "smart drugs" of these two doses from management have not been fully supported by the industry and investors.
In view of the vast majority of people in the industry, the "Technical Regulations for Wind Farm Access to Power Systems" clearly defines the grid connection technical requirements for the construction and expansion of wind farms, and increases the related content of requirements for low-voltage ride-through capability of wind farms. If this requirement is met, the wind farm operators will increase their investment; and the “Distributed Access Wind Power Project Development and Construction Guidance Opinions†also puts forward new technical requirements for the distributed wind power project. The low wind speed wind farm faces the wind turbine group. Replacing the issue will directly lead to a significant increase in the operating costs of wind farms with low wind speeds.
A brokerage analyst who declined to be named told reporters that “the two new policies have actually added cost pressures to wind power machine manufacturing companies and wind farm operating companies. In the short term, the implementation of the New Deal will be in the era of 'low profit'. The wind power industry has caused adverse effects, but in the long run, the two new policies will promote the normal operation and healthy development of the industry, and will also accelerate the technical progress of the industry. Therefore, the dissatisfaction of the industry will be temporary."
China's wind power grid connection rate is only 70%
In January 2012, Liu Tienan, director of the National Energy Administration, publicly stated that in 2011, the total capacity of on-grid wind power in China increased by 16 GW (a year-on-year increase of 7%) to 47 GW (an increase of 52% over the same period of last year). Shortly thereafter, the China Wind Energy Association Secretary-General Qin Haiyan publicly introduced that in 2011 China's wind power capacity increased by more than 20GW (a year-on-year increase of 6%), and the total installed capacity of wind power reached 65GW (a 44% year-on-year increase).
According to the above two sets of data, the reporter estimated that the total capacity of 47 GW of wind power combined in China accounted for only 72% of the total installed capacity of 65 GW of wind power in the country in 2011 (about 72% of wind power in China in 2011), which is more than 2010. The 69% is only 3% higher.
According to China's “12th Five-Year Plan†development target for 2015 with total wind power installed capacity of 100 million KW (100 GW) and annual power generation capacity of 200 billion KW (calculating the annual utilization of wind power installed capacity is approximately 2000 hours)†The total installed capacity of wind power in China reached 65GW in 2011. In the next four years, China will only need to maintain an annual installed capacity of 8.75GW of wind power to meet the standard (in 2011, China's wind power capacity will increase by more than 20GW).
However, if it is easy to achieve the goal of total installed capacity of wind power, if the wind power grid connection rate in China stays at 70% for a long time, it means that the total installed capacity of 100 million KW of wind power in 2015 will be only 70 million KW can be realized. The annual power generation capacity of 140 billion KW (installed capacity * annual use hours = annual power generation capacity) not only fails to achieve "the annual power generation capacity reaches 200 billion KW," but also not to mention boosting "the proportion of wind power in electricity consumption exceeds 3%."
It can thus be seen that making 30% of the country's wind power installed in the “sunshine†state into the power grid will become the top priority in determining the success or failure of the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€.
The New Deal raises the cost of wind power in the short term Since the improvement of China’s wind power grid connection rate has been unavoidable, and the smooth grid connection is also a long-cherished wish of all wind power companies, why does the industry show its “displeasure†for promoting the new grid-connected government?
It is understood that the "Technical Regulations for Wind Farm Access to Power Systems" mainly stipulates the technical requirements for the construction of new or expanded wind farms connected to 110 (66) kV and above voltage class lines and power systems, including active power to wind farms. Control, reactive power/voltage control, active power prediction, wind farm testing, secondary wind farm control, and low voltage ride through capability (LVRT) requirements.
A brokerage analyst who declined to be named told reporters that “although wind power costs have experienced a sharp decline, today's prices have dropped from 6,200 yuan/KW three years ago to 3,600 yuan/KW. Compensation equipment 100 yuan / KW investment, and energy storage equipment 1000 yuan / KW investment provides the 'economic basis'.
“But for some enterprises that entered the wind power industry very early, there were a large number of generating units that did not have low-voltage traversing in the early years. If they were to be converted to 100,000 yuan per unit, 10,000 units would be 1 billion yuan. For the wind power industry enterprises in the downturn phase, it will definitely cause their capital flow to be stretched. The analyst added.
At the same time, the “Guidelines for the Development and Construction of Decentralized Access Wind Power Projects†proposed that the domestically-constructed distributed wind power projects must adapt to the local grid structure and the grid-connected technical specifications. In addition, it can only be accessed locally. 110 KV or 66 KV power grid system, in order to ensure the safe and stable operation of the local power grid, requires the project to be built more points to access, and the maximum installed capacity of individual projects is not more than 50,000 kilowatts.
In response, listed analysts said, “A large-scale wind farm unit with 50,000 KW will not be able to be connected to the grid more than a million yuan. It is more difficult to transform the wind farm technology and it is expected to increase the cost to wind farm operators.†.
However, unexpectedly, it seems that the "smart drugs" of these two doses from management have not been fully supported by the industry and investors.
In view of the vast majority of people in the industry, the "Technical Regulations for Wind Farm Access to Power Systems" clearly defines the grid connection technical requirements for the construction and expansion of wind farms, and increases the related content of requirements for low-voltage ride-through capability of wind farms. If this requirement is met, the wind farm operators will increase their investment; and the “Distributed Access Wind Power Project Development and Construction Guidance Opinions†also puts forward new technical requirements for the distributed wind power project. The low wind speed wind farm faces the wind turbine group. Replacing the issue will directly lead to a significant increase in the operating costs of wind farms with low wind speeds.
A brokerage analyst who declined to be named told reporters that “the two new policies have actually added cost pressures to wind power machine manufacturing companies and wind farm operating companies. In the short term, the implementation of the New Deal will be in the era of 'low profit'. The wind power industry has caused adverse effects, but in the long run, the two new policies will promote the normal operation and healthy development of the industry, and will also accelerate the technical progress of the industry. Therefore, the dissatisfaction of the industry will be temporary."
China's wind power grid connection rate is only 70%
In January 2012, Liu Tienan, director of the National Energy Administration, publicly stated that in 2011, the total capacity of on-grid wind power in China increased by 16 GW (a year-on-year increase of 7%) to 47 GW (an increase of 52% over the same period of last year). Shortly thereafter, the China Wind Energy Association Secretary-General Qin Haiyan publicly introduced that in 2011 China's wind power capacity increased by more than 20GW (a year-on-year increase of 6%), and the total installed capacity of wind power reached 65GW (a 44% year-on-year increase).
According to the above two sets of data, the reporter estimated that the total capacity of 47 GW of wind power combined in China accounted for only 72% of the total installed capacity of 65 GW of wind power in the country in 2011 (about 72% of wind power in China in 2011), which is more than 2010. The 69% is only 3% higher.
According to China's “12th Five-Year Plan†development target for 2015 with total wind power installed capacity of 100 million KW (100 GW) and annual power generation capacity of 200 billion KW (calculating the annual utilization of wind power installed capacity is approximately 2000 hours)†The total installed capacity of wind power in China reached 65GW in 2011. In the next four years, China will only need to maintain an annual installed capacity of 8.75GW of wind power to meet the standard (in 2011, China's wind power capacity will increase by more than 20GW).
However, if it is easy to achieve the goal of total installed capacity of wind power, if the wind power grid connection rate in China stays at 70% for a long time, it means that the total installed capacity of 100 million KW of wind power in 2015 will be only 70 million KW can be realized. The annual power generation capacity of 140 billion KW (installed capacity * annual use hours = annual power generation capacity) not only fails to achieve "the annual power generation capacity reaches 200 billion KW," but also not to mention boosting "the proportion of wind power in electricity consumption exceeds 3%."
It can thus be seen that making 30% of the country's wind power installed in the “sunshine†state into the power grid will become the top priority in determining the success or failure of the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€.
The New Deal raises the cost of wind power in the short term Since the improvement of China’s wind power grid connection rate has been unavoidable, and the smooth grid connection is also a long-cherished wish of all wind power companies, why does the industry show its “displeasure†for promoting the new grid-connected government?
It is understood that the "Technical Regulations for Wind Farm Access to Power Systems" mainly stipulates the technical requirements for the construction of new or expanded wind farms connected to 110 (66) kV and above voltage class lines and power systems, including active power to wind farms. Control, reactive power/voltage control, active power prediction, wind farm testing, secondary wind farm control, and low voltage ride through capability (LVRT) requirements.
A brokerage analyst who declined to be named told reporters that “although wind power costs have experienced a sharp decline, today's prices have dropped from 6,200 yuan/KW three years ago to 3,600 yuan/KW. Compensation equipment 100 yuan / KW investment, and energy storage equipment 1000 yuan / KW investment provides the 'economic basis'.
“But for some enterprises that entered the wind power industry very early, there were a large number of generating units that did not have low-voltage traversing in the early years. If they were to be converted to 100,000 yuan per unit, 10,000 units would be 1 billion yuan. For the wind power industry enterprises in the downturn phase, it will definitely cause their capital flow to be stretched. The analyst added.
At the same time, the “Guidelines for the Development and Construction of Decentralized Access Wind Power Projects†proposed that the domestically-constructed distributed wind power projects must adapt to the local grid structure and the grid-connected technical specifications. In addition, it can only be accessed locally. 110 KV or 66 KV power grid system, in order to ensure the safe and stable operation of the local power grid, requires the project to be built more points to access, and the maximum installed capacity of individual projects is not more than 50,000 kilowatts.
In response, listed analysts said, “A large-scale wind farm unit with 50,000 KW will not be able to be connected to the grid more than a million yuan. It is more difficult to transform the wind farm technology and it is expected to increase the cost to wind farm operators.†.
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