[Steel City Morning News] July 24, 2018 Steel Business Reference Materials

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Guide

The night plate rebounded, the billet rose, and the steel price was stronger. The unemployment rate fell to a new low policy dividend; the real estate market ushered in a small climax in the first half of the year, tightening market uncertainty in the second half of the year; Minister of Finance: China is accelerating the implementation of various open measures; "China made" high-speed wheels Exported overseas to "drive into" Germany Railway; June unwrought aluminum and aluminum exports of 510,000 tons.

market

1. Market Quote: China Steel Network data shows that the average price of rebar 20mm HRB400E in 24 major markets nationwide is 4195 yuan/ton, up 13 yuan/ton from the previous trading day.

The average price of 4.75 hot rolled coils in 24 major markets nationwide was 4,259 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan/ton from the previous trading day.

The average price of 14-20mm Puzhong board in 23 major markets nationwide was 4348 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton from the previous trading day.

Review

The lack of demand for finished products is in fact a positive support, and more with the slab passive adjustment, the temporary billet market is expected to rise slightly, and the new high can be expected during the year. The main reason is that the turnover of raw materials has started to rise, the demand for steel billets has increased, the gap between supply and demand has narrowed, and the contradiction has eased slightly. Second, the futures market has been strong and volatile, and manufacturers are still willing to pay more.

The output is still at a high level, Tangshan environmental management and control supply contraction expectations, but the production limit and the implementation of the manufacturers still have variables.

The downside risk in the charge is not large. The ore is subject to environmental protection and transportation control. The manufacturers purchase more according to the demand. However, the profits of the manufacturers drive the high-quality mines to be favored. In addition, the cost rises with the depreciation of the RMB, and the price of the mines is firm and supportive;

The environmental protection and futures situation is still the main factor that restricts the current rhythm of the steel market. The price of finished products is supported by the ups and downs. The varieties of the furnaces are slightly different, but there is no downside risk. It is expected that the steel market will continue to strengthen.

1. Raw materials: Tangshan Pufang billet rose 20 to 3740 yuan/ton; 62% Platts iron ore index reported 64.80 US dollars, up 0.15%.

2. Futures: The main force of the night disk thread is 4012 up 15; the main volume of the hot coil is 4079 up 14; the main iron ore is 475 up 1.5. The coke main force received 2,101 rose 24.5, and the coking coal main force closed at 1163.5.

3. The stock market: The Shanghai Composite Index reported 2,859.54 points, up 1.07%, with a turnover of 186.997 billion. Shenzhen Securities Index reported 9314.30 points, up 0.68%, with a turnover of 224.043 billion. The GEM pointed to 1620.97 points, up 0.71%, with a turnover of 77.794 billion.

4. Exchange rate: The US dollar index rose. As of July 24, the US dollar index was reported at 94.63; the central parity of the RMB against the US dollar was reported at 6.8149 yuan, down by 78 basis points.

5, outer disk: London metal shock, Lun copper fell 0.39%, reported 6128 US dollars / ton; Lun aluminum rose 1.1%, reported 2065 US dollars / ton; Lun Nickel fell 1%, reported 13375 US dollars / ton; Lun zinc fell 0.91%, Reported at 2,554 US dollars / ton.

6. WTI: Crude oil futures closed up 0.06 US dollars, up 0.09%, to 67.86 US dollars / barrel.

Macroscopic

1. The central bank put in 502 billion MLF institutions: monetary easing confirmation. On July 23, the central bank launched a 50 billion yuan one-year medium-term loan facility (MLF) operation, and the operating rate remained unchanged at 3.3%. There was no MLF expiration on that day, only 170 million yuan 7-day reverse repurchase expired, so the net liquidity of the open market on the same day reached 332 billion yuan.

2. The unemployment rate fell to a new low. With the help of a positive employment policy, the employment situation in China has continued to be stable and positive. On July 23, the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security held a press conference in the second quarter of this year. Lu Aihong, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, said that in the first half of this year, the employment situation in China was generally stable. At the end of the second quarter, the national urban registered unemployment rate was 3.83%, which fell to years. New low. Employment is a "barometer" of the economy. Behind the continued decline in the unemployment rate also reflects the continuous improvement of China's employment policy system, and the effect of the economic “ballast stone” has begun to appear.

3. In the first half of the year, the real estate market ushered in a small climax regulation and tightened market uncertainty in the second half of the year. Since the beginning of this round of regulation and control in September 2016, it has lasted for more than 22 months. The clear positioning of “staying and not speculating”, the determination of financial declining leverage, and the housing system of selling rents, all of which have led to the maddening real estate. The market is gradually stable. However, with the passage of time, the Chinese property market, which has produced antibodies with frequent regulation, has once again moved. The real estate market in the first half of 2018 ushered in a small climax in the industry.

4, the pressure on housing enterprises to increase the real estate sales chaos still exists. Recently, the seven ministries and commissions, including the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, made a heavy blow and decided to jointly carry out special actions to control the real estate market in 30 cities including Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou. The main targets of this special action include speculative real estate speculation, real estate “black intermediary”, illegal and illegal real estate development enterprises and false real estate advertisements. According to media reports, many housing companies' projects involved in the special inspections involving "double contracts" and other violations were investigated, and some projects have been suspended for external sales.

5. The G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting focused on protectionist risks. The two-day meeting of the G20 finance ministers and central bank governors ended in the Argentine capital of Buenos Aires on the 22nd. The recent large-scale provocation of trade disputes and the destruction of the global trade order by the United States have become the focus of attention of the conference. Participants and experts stressed that the US unilateral protectionist policy has had a negative impact on the world economy and called on the United States not to relapse into the world economy.

6. Minister of Finance: China is accelerating the implementation of various open measures. The G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting was held in Buenos Aires, Argentina. The conference focused on issues such as the global economic situation, future work, infrastructure, financial technology, international taxation, international financial architecture, and inclusive finance. Liu Kun, Minister of Finance, attended the meeting and delivered a speech. He pointed out that China is speeding up the implementation of various open measures. The opening of China's opening will not only promote China's high-quality development, but also provide an important impetus for global economic growth.

7. Announcement of the Ministry of Commerce on the investigation of anti-dumping investigations on imported stainless steel billets and stainless steel hot-rolled sheets/rolls originating in the European Union, Japan, South Korea and Indonesia. On June 22, 2018, the Ministry of Commerce of the People's Republic of China (hereinafter referred to as the Ministry of Commerce) received an anti-dumping investigation formally submitted by Shanxi Taigang Stainless Steel Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as the applicant) on behalf of the domestic stainless steel billet and stainless steel hot-rolled sheet/roll industry. Application. The applicant requested an anti-dumping investigation against imported stainless steel billets and stainless steel hot rolled sheets/rolls originating in the European Union, Japan, Korea and Indonesia. The Ministry of Commerce, in accordance with the relevant provisions of the "Anti-dumping Regulations of the People's Republic of China", the qualifications of applicants, the relevant conditions for applying for investigation of products, the relevant situation of similar products in China, the impact of applying for investigation of products on domestic industries, and the application for investigation of countries (regions) The situation and so on were reviewed.

8. International steel enters the era of “Big Mac”? According to relevant media reports, German industrial giant ThyssenKrupp has formally signed an agreement with Tata, a subsidiary of India-based Tata Group, to merge its business in Europe. Establish a joint venture company with 50% shareholdings. The joint venture, named ThyssenKruppata, will be the second largest company in Europe, second only to ArcelorMittal.

industry

1. The industry is still the main battlefield for the blue sky to defend the battle. At the 2018 (ninth) China Energy Conservation and Emission Reduction Forum held recently, Li Xinchuang, president of the Metallurgical Industry Planning and Research Institute, said that the industry's environmental protection work has made positive progress. In the past 10 years, the emissions of sulfur dioxide, particulate matter and other pollutants have decreased. More than 60%. Due to the large steel output, the industry's sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, particulate matter emissions ranked third, third and first in all industrial sectors, respectively, is still the main battlefield of the blue sky defense war.

2, "China made" high-speed wheel exports overseas "driving into" Germany Railway. It was learned from Maanshan Co., Ltd. that 160 high-speed wheels of 320 km/h speed produced by Maanshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. arrived at the Wittenberg base of the German Federal Railways, and will soon be loaded onto the line.

3. Secretary of Hebei Provincial Party Committee: Unswervingly resolve excess capacity. Hebei Province held an economic development promotion meeting, and the provincial party secretary and director of the Standing Committee of the Provincial People's Congress Wang Dongfeng emphasized that we must adhere to the new development concept to lead high-quality development. We must vigorously do a good job in three major events, promote the planning and construction of the Xiong'an New District, promote the coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and do a good job in the preparations for the Winter Olympics to ensure the smooth implementation of major national strategies and national events. We must vigorously promote transformation and upgrading, unswervingly resolve excess capacity, accelerate the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, actively develop strategic emerging industries and modern service industries, and comprehensively improve the quality and efficiency of economic development.

4. In the past decade, China's industry pollutant emissions have dropped by more than 60%. Li Xinchuang, vice president of China Steel Association, said in Beijing on the 21st that in the past decade, the emissions of sulfur dioxide, particulate matter and other pollutants in China's industry have dropped by more than 60%.

In May and June, the export volume of unwrought aluminum and aluminum was 510,000 tons. In June, the export volume of alumina was 118,334 tons; in the first half of 2018, the export volume of alumina was 239,382 tons.

6. BDI: The Baltic Dry Index rose by 1.72% to 1718.

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