Structural adjustment is the core theme of the 12th Five-Year Plan for the machine tool industry

In the first half of 2011, the machine tool industry continued its hot market in 2010. Many leading companies' operating income increased by more than 30% year-on-year. For example, Shenyang Machine Tool, sales revenue of 9.3 billion yuan, an increase of 32%, is 52% of the annual plan; CNC machine tool production and sales reached 18,000 units, an increase of 47%, is 56% of the annual plan.
From January to June, Qinchuan Group achieved operating income of 4.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35%; profits and taxes of 310 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43%.
According to the statistics of China Machine Tool Industry Association, the total industrial output value of the machine tool industry in the first quarter of 2011 was 129.40 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.1%; the cumulative sales value of finished products was 126.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.2%.
Looking back at the 2010 data, the machine tool industry completed the industrial output value of 553.68 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth rate of 40.6%, how exciting.
In fact, from 2002 to 2010, China has been ranked as the world's largest consumer of metal processing machine tools and the first largest importer in the world for nine consecutive years. In 2009 and 2010, China has also become the world's largest producer of metal processing machine tools.
Three laurels are in the head. It can be said that China's machine tool industry has entered a golden period of development. But the old saying goes: I am in the three provinces. Therefore, at this "best moment", we should probably look back at how much the real level in this market climax has improved in recent years, and what shortcomings need to be improved.
The six major regrets under the rapid development The mainframe is big but not strong In 2009, China's metal processing machine tool output reached 15.3 billion US dollars, becoming the world's largest machine tool producing country. In 2010, the output value has increased to 20.91 billion US dollars, ranking first in the world.
However, over the years, the overall level of the host has a large gap compared with the advanced level of foreign countries. There are few companies that can provide users with complete sets and line-up services. They lack the ability to provide complete solutions or undertake more complex engineering general contracting projects. The medium and high-end CNC machine tools that are urgently needed in the market mainly rely on imports.
In 2008, the import value of metal processing machine tools in China was as high as 7.59 billion US dollars, including 5.68 billion US dollars for metal cutting machine tools and 1.91 billion US dollars for metal forming machine tools. Despite the impact of the financial crisis in 2009, the import value has declined, but still reached 5.9 billion US dollars, including metal cutting machine tools 4.56 billion US dollars; metal forming machine tools 1.34 billion US dollars.
In 2010, the import value reached a new high again, reaching 9.42 billion US dollars, an increase of 24.4% compared with the highest point in 2008. Among them, the main imported products are: machining centers, CNC lathes, precision grinding machines and special processing machines.
The supporting level failed to improve simultaneously Although the market share of domestic machine tools has increased significantly, the development level of key functional components of CNC machine tools in China has not been substantially improved. It can be said that although the production capacity of key CNC machine tool supporting products has achieved a substantial increase, it is mainly from the perspective of quantity to meet a large number of new bed construction needs. From the overall perspective of the CNC machine tool industry, the original technology gap still exists, and the situation of weak supporting capability of high-end products has not made substantial breakthroughs. The supporting capabilities for new business areas are still immature, and there are few products that truly control independent intellectual property rights. . Therefore, the impact of the rapid development of China's machine tool industry on China's machine tool supporting industry is also more reflected in the "quantity" level, and still has a long way to go in the "quality" level.
The obvious comparison is that the development of numerical control systems and functional components has become a bottleneck restricting the development of the industry. According to statistics, the domestic market share of domestic mid-range CNC systems is only 35%, while more than 95% of high-end CNC systems rely on imports. The overall market share of functional components is about 30%, and the market share of high-end functional components is lower. Brand features in Taiwan account for about 50% of the domestic market, and the remaining 20% ​​are brand products such as the EU and Japan.
According to national customs statistics, in 2010 China's imported CNC system amounted to 1.81 billion US dollars, machine tool accessories (including functional components and fixtures) products reached 1.62 billion US dollars. The key technologies of high-end CNC machine tools still have a big gap. The key technologies of high-end CNC machine tools characterized by high speed, high precision, compound and intelligence have made significant progress, and a number of common, basic technologies and new product developments have made new progress. However, compared with the international advanced level, there is still a big gap. Some key technologies, such as high-speed and high-precision motion control technology, dynamic integrated compensation technology, multi-axis linkage and composite processing technology, intelligent technology, high-precision direct drive technology, and reliability technology, need further breakthroughs. Some major technologies are separated from the industry. There is still a long way to go. The research and development system that takes enterprises as the main body, market-oriented, and combines production, education and research has not been established. The independent innovation and development of the industry lacks high-tech support. Product quality stability still needs to further improve the overall level of product quality in China's machine tool industry. It has played an important role in improving the overall quality and core competitiveness of the industry, and has also been recognized by the majority of users. However, in terms of product quality stability and reliability, for example, high machine tool failure rate is high, precision stability cycle is short, engineering capability coefficient (CPK value), mean time between failures (MTBF) and other indicators are compared with international advanced levels. There is still a certain gap. Strengthening product quality work and solving deep-level quality problems cannot be ignored. The manufacturing service industry has not yet formed. The development level of the service industry is an important indicator to measure the degree of modern social economic development. Users are increasingly demanding services in the machine tool industry. This is an objective requirement for social and economic development and industrial upgrading in all areas of the national economy. The industry enterprises pay more attention to the provision of universal single-machine products, ignoring the understanding and research of the user's production process characteristics and individualized needs. The manufacturing service industry has the characteristics of high technology content and high added value of output. The machine tool industry urgently needs to change from production-oriented manufacturing to service-oriented manufacturing to realize the transformation and upgrading of traditional services. The overall economic efficiency of the industry is low. The machine tool industry is a technology-intensive, capital-intensive, talent-intensive industry with many industries, multiple varieties, small batches, and high social benefits. At present, the medium and high-end CNC systems and key functional components supporting the industry mainly rely on imports. The added value of most products is low. The industry as a whole is still at the low-end of the international industrial chain. The overall economic efficiency of the industry is low, and the profitability is poor. There is still a certain gap compared with the country. Structural adjustment is a long-term responsibility. For an industry, the growth of total volume and scale can only indicate “big”, and the improvement of internal quality and level can explain “strong”. One of the biggest benefits of the 2008 financial crisis was that people were awakened by the self-indulgence of quantitative indicators, and began to really think about how much our level and strength have improved, and why we compete with our rivals. It is undeniable that our economic growth relies too much on the expansion of the total volume and scale, and relies too much on the continuous improvement of market demand. Judging from the development goals of the machine tool industry during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan”, almost all of the total targets are exceeded, but the realization of the goals that reflect the quality and internal level of industrial development still faces great challenges. Compared with the increase in total volume, China's machine tool industry has far less improvement in terms of “quality”. For the current Chinese machine tool industry, after experiencing explosive rapid growth, under the market adjustment situation, how to adjust the structure and promote the transformation of economic growth mode is a must for the Chinese shipbuilding industry. Through this hurdle, the process of achieving the goal of strengthening the machine tool will be greatly shortened; if this is not the case, the progress of the goal of the machine tool will be greatly slowed down. At present, China's machine tool industry has a relatively consistent understanding of the necessity and urgency of promoting structural adjustment, but the key to the problem is how to adjust. The key to promoting structural adjustment lies in the maturity of internal and external conditions, and the content of adjustment is nothing more than the adjustment of industrial organization structure, product structure adjustment and business structure adjustment. From the external conditions, despite the impact of the financial crisis, the machine tool industry has recovered rapidly. In fact, since the second half of 2009, the days of most machine tool manufacturers have improved, and the market demand has rapidly increased in 2010. Therefore, the external pressure on industrial enterprises to be adjusted by product structure is not large. From the perspective of internal conditions, in terms of industrial organization structure, although the industrial concentration is low, it is an indisputable fact. However, in the current situation that machine tool manufacturing products are similar in structure and resource complementarity is not obvious, what mode is adopted to promote mergers and acquisitions is worthwhile. Further research. At the same time, whether the road to “going out” of the machine tool industry in the past few years is worthy of promotion still needs to be carefully demonstrated. It is particularly worth pointing out that the reason why the product structure adjustment can be smoothly promoted in the past two years is because the entire machine tool manufacturing industry has reached a consensus in the case of a large inventory of ordinary machine tools in 2008 and a large number of new orders. The situation of sharp shrinkage and declining unit price, reducing the output of ordinary machine tools and increasing the added value of products will help enterprises survive. But this pressure lasts for a short time, and then it is the hot sale of ordinary machine tools. The changing market has made the company insist on product structure adjustment on the one hand, and it is impossible to ignore the good market on the other hand. As a result, there has been a strong and fast situation, and the emphasis on product structure adjustment has naturally been discounted. . Therefore, the reporter believes that the structural adjustment of China's machine tool industry will not be a short-term process. Some experts believe that the entire "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period may be the structural adjustment period of China's machine tool industry. This sentence is not without reason. Even if the market fluctuates during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, structural adjustment will inevitably be one of the core themes of the development of China's machine tool industry.

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