At the beginning of 2017, Monita Research and the China Industrial Machinery Federation launched a survey. At that time, we came to the core conclusion that "production improvement, investment cautious." At the beginning of 2018, the industry was controversial about whether the profit recovery of manufacturing enterprises could continue and whether profit recovery could drive investment recovery. Monita Research has once again initiated research with the Industrial Machinery Association. Based on in-depth interviews and feedback from questionnaires, our core view is that “the investment in manufacturing enterprises is generally cautious in 2018, and technological transformation and R&D are the future prioritiesâ€.
The survey covered 100 companies, covering 10 manufacturing sectors including construction machinery, petrochemical and general-purpose, machine tools and tools, electrical appliances, automobiles, heavy mining equipment, instrumentation, and basic parts. According to the dimensions of the manufacturing sector and the concentration of enterprises in the sub-sectors, Monita has distributed the following samples. Among them, 20 companies were deeply interviewed and 80 were involved in the form of questionnaires.
From the perspective of business expectations, orders and demand, production and investment in 2018, we have the following core conclusions:
The start of the business is still unclear for the third and fourth quarters
The overall business started well in the first quarter, and the economy continued its resilience from the second half of 2017 to the present, but the rising momentum was weak. In addition to construction machinery, electronics industry, petrochemical and general, food packaging equipment, other companies are cautious for the whole year of 2018.
Smooth demand orders are not full enough
78% of the research companies reported that the production cycle of the hand order was within half a year, which reflected that the overall order in the first half of 2018 was acceptable, but not full enough. The proportion of new orders increased slightly and increased sharply by 54%, reflecting a slightly better demand.
Investment remains cautious, technical transformation and R&D are the focus of the future
The company as a whole continued the judgment of Monita in early 2017, “production improvement, investment cautiousâ€. 43% of companies said that investment in 2018 was flat year-on-year, and 23% of companies said they increased year-on-year. The future investment direction is mostly technological transformation and research and development, technical reform is concentrated in digitalization and intelligence, and intelligent core components will be purchased abroad.
Upstream raw material price increase is difficult to transmit part of the industry's financing costs increase
38% of companies said that upstream price increases are difficult to transmit, and 46% of companies said they have yet to be observed. From the perspective of sub-sectors, only the construction machinery industry is easy to conduct.
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